Hawaiian Pro

Surf Forecast | Hawaiian Pro

Nov 19, 2019

By Jonathan Warren / Surfline

HIGHLIGHTS

Small-scale yet clean surf over Tues/Wed – watch for signs of new swell late Wed
New solid WNW-NW swell due for Thursday the 21st w/strong ENE trades
Another decent size WNW-NW swell for Sunday the 24th w/strong E trades


TUESDAY 19th

3-4’+ faces. Good conditions.

SWELL/SURF: A new/modest NW swell moves in. Sets mainly in the waist- to chest-high zone, with occasional shoulder high+ waves/peaks (strongest midday through the afternoon).
WIND: Light ESE becoming moderate E trades.
TIDES: 1.6’ high at 8:46am, 0.1’ low at 3:25pm


WEDNESDAY 20th

2-3’ faces much of day, then rebuilding late.

SWELL/SURF: Small NW swell. Watching for a new WNW-NW swell to start building in over the PM --- likely some larger sets rising up late in the day. This new swell really builds in over Wednesday night.
WIND: Moderate ENE trades early becoming breezy for the day.
TIDES: 1.5’ high at 9:47am, 0’ low at 4:02pm


THURSDAY 21st

8-12’ occ 14’ faces. OK conditions.

SWELL/SURF: New/solid WNW-NW swell tops out with well overhead surf – sets going double overhead+, occasional waves pushing near triple overhead.
WIND: Strong ENE trades – stronger than ideal but an OK direction.
TIDES: 1.4’ high at 10:43am, 0’ low at 4:35pm 


FRIDAY 22nd

7-10’ faces, easing to 5-8’. OK conditions.

SWELL/SURF: Easing WNW-NW swell. Biggest early with the bigger sets still hitting double overhead.
WIND: Strong ENE trades – stronger than ideal but an OK direction.
TIDES: 0.5’ low at 4:54am, 1.3’ high at 11:35am, -0.1’ low at 5:06pm


SATURDAY 23rd

4-5’ faces, easing to 3-4’. OK conditions.

SWELL/SURF: Leftovers of old/easing WNW-NW swell. Biggest early with the bigger sets around shoulder- to head-high. New NW swell starts to move in over the PM.
WIND: Strong ENE trades – stronger than ideal but an OK direction.
TIDES: 0.4’ low at 6:02am, 1.1’ high at 12:23pm, -0.1’ low at 5:37pm

Another solid WNW-NW swell (300-325°) will move in by Thursday and should peak around 9-10 feet at 15-16 seconds.

ANALYSIS

We have recently been watching the progress of a large complex storm developing out near the northwest rim of the Pacific. The southwest quadrant of this system, which is pretty south in latitude, has maintained a fairly strong, broad, and eastward moving fetch over the past couple days. As a result, another solid WNW-NW swell (300-325°) will move in by Thursday and should peak around 9-10 feet at 15-16 seconds. Compared to the last swell, this one is similar in direction and size (likely a touch smaller). However, this one should be a little less consistent, as the storm is not as close. This energy will then taper off over Friday and the weekend. 

Another storm is projected to follow the storm discussed above, developing over the next few days, also along the northwest rim of the Pacific. Although projected to become pretty strong as well, that strength doesn't look to be long-lived, and the track is not as favorable - farther away and toward the northeast. Nonetheless, things still look promising for another decent size round of WNW-NW swell (305-320°) for the last day of the event window, Sunday the 24th.

During the run of swell mentioned above (likely both pulses), strong ENE trades (around 15-20kts) are expected to prevail, thanks to a strong area of high pressure forecast to build north of the islands. At least the direction will be OK for many locations, such as on Oahu's North Shore.


Next update: Tuesday Nov 19th

Morning Call: November 18th

Day 3 Highlights - Wild Ride

Clicks: Hawaiian Pro Day 3

Morning Call: November 18th

Day 3 Highlights - Wild Ride

Clicks: Hawaiian Pro Day 3

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